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Tech & AIIPOIPOsTech

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

8 outcomes · ranked

$192K traded
No IPO by December 31, 2027
66%
11–14B
6%
20B+
5%
<5B
4%
8–11B
4%
17–20B
4%
14–17B
3%
5–8B
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
57%No IPO by December 31, 2027 · +9 pts over period66%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 66%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unle…

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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