United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is 340–354 at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.