Skip to content
GeopoliticsWorld SeriesAmerican Leaguebaseball

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

4 outcomes · ranked

$4.6M traded
Tampa Bay Rays
36%
New York Yankees
24%
Chicago White Sox
24%
Cleveland Guardians
14%

Probability over time

last 30 days
21%Tampa Bay Rays · +15 pts over period36%

What this means

Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is Tampa Bay Rays at 36%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Dec 1, 2026

More in Geopolitics