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Tech & AIAITechGemini

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

5 outcomes · ranked

$1.1M traded
October 31
71%
September 30
36%
September 15
28%
August 31
8%
August 21
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
52%October 31 · +19 pts over period71%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is October 31 at 71%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible an…

Closed Jul 31, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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