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Tech & AIAITechGemini

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

6 outcomes · ranked

$1.6M traded
December 31
31%
November 30
30%
October 31
20%
October 23
12%
October 15
10%
October 9
4%

Probability over time

last 30 days
26%December 31 · +5 pts over period31%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 31%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible an…

Resolves: Nov 1, 2026

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