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Tech & AIAnthropicTechClaude Mythos

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

3 outcomes · ranked

$127K traded
September 30
81%
September 15
54%
August 31
18%

Probability over time

last 30 days
81%September 30 · +0 pts over period81%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is September 30 at 81%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within…

Resolves: Sep 30, 2026

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