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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

24 outcomes · ranked

$28.7M traded
Yulia Navalnaya
28%
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
10%
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
8%
Mykola Kuleba
7%
Save the Children
4%
International Court of Justice
4%
World Central Kitchen
3%
Committee to Protect Journalists
3%
International Space Station
2%
Hussam Abu Safiya
2%
UNRWA
2%
UNHCR
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
8%Yulia Navalnaya · +20 pts over period27%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is Yulia Navalnaya at 28%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order a…

Resolves: Apr 1, 2027

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