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OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

3 outcomes · ranked

$174K traded
December 31, 2027
74%
December 31, 2026
44%
September 30, 2026
13%

Probability over time

last 30 days
40%December 31, 2027 · +34 pts over period74%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2027 at 74%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An annou…

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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