OpenAI IPO by...?
3 outcomes · ranked
$2.9M tradedDecember 31, 2026
19%
September 30, 2026
2%
August 31, 2026
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2026 at 19%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
More in Tech & AI
Tech & AI+32 pts
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
57%
MGM Resorts
40%
Viking Therapeutics
22%
14 outcomes$18.2M vol
Tech & AIflat
IPOs before 2027?
SHEIN
98%
Anthropic
86%
Discord
29%
24 outcomes$7.1M vol
Tech & AI-18 pts
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
53%
Anthropic
47%
OpenAI
0%
12 outcomes$5.5M vol