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OpenAI IPO by...?

4 outcomes · ranked

$2.5M traded
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
5%
August 31, 2026
1%
July 31, 2026
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
71%December 31, 2026 · -49 pts over period21%

What this means

Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2026 at 21%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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