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Tech & AIBusinessBig TechElon Musk

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

10 outcomes · ranked

$1.9M traded
Elon Musk
96%
Warren Buffett
1%
Bernard Arnault
1%
Jensen Huang
1%
Jeff Bezos
0%
Larry Page
0%
Steve Ballmer
0%
Sergey Brin
0%
Larry Ellison
0%
Mark Zuckerberg
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
93%Elon Musk · +4 pts over period96%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Elon Musk at 96%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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