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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

9 outcomes · ranked

$138K traded

October 31

97%

September 30

93%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

79%

Successful splash down?

72%

September 15

53%

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

10%

Chopsticks catch Starship?

August 31

August 22

Probability over time

last 30 days

74%October 31 · +22 pts over period97%

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is October 31 at 97%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.

Resolves: Oct 31, 2026