What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
10 outcomes · ranked
$443K tradedEarbuds/Headphones
27%
Clip-on device for clothing
13%
Glasses
12%
Watch
8%
Ring
8%
Necklace
6%
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
5%
Phone
4%
Tablet
4%
Head-mounted display
2%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Earbuds/Headphones at 27%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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