Skip to content
Tech & AIAIIPOIPOs

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

8 outcomes · ranked

$205K traded
$1.50–$1.75T
43%
$1.75–$2.00T
36%
$1.25–$1.50T
7%
$2.00–$2.25T
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$2.25–$2.50T
2%
<$1.25T
1%
$2.50T+
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
5%$1.50–$1.75T · +38 pts over period43%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is $1.50–$1.75T at 43%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; …

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

More in Tech & AI