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Tech & AIAITechAI Agent

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

18 outcomes · ranked

$125K traded
Anthropic
89%
OpenAI
8%
SpaceXAI
0%
Moonshot
0%
Z.ai
0%
Amazon
0%
Meta
0%
Alibaba
0%
Google
0%
Microsoft
0%
Meituan
0%
DeepSeek
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
74%Anthropic · +16 pts over period89%

What this means

Across 18 outcomes, the market's favourite is Anthropic at 89%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place unde…

Resolves: Oct 1, 2026

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