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Tech & AIAITechAI Rankings

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

21 outcomes · ranked

$132K traded
Anthropic
75%
OpenAI
14%
Google
6%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
0%
Baidu
0%
ByteDance
0%
Nvidia
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Anthropic · +26 pts over period76%

What this means

Across 21 outcomes, the market's favourite is Anthropic at 75%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie s…

Resolves: Nov 1, 2026

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