Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 96% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
Tesla is holding an event on October 15, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET where the company is expected to showcase an updated version of the Tesla Roadster. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present at the event performs a live, timed 0-60 mph acceleration run, from a standing start, under its own power, with a resulting time of less than 1.0 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying run must be timed, and the resulting time must be demonstrated, not merely claimed. A qualifying demonstration includes an onstage or on-screen display of a timer, speedometer, or other instrumentation showing the vehicle's elapsed time during the run, or an official Tesla-published time for that specific live run. Remote control is permitted. If the demonstrated run is to a higher speed than…