Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
31%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 31% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +3 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
More in Tech & AI
Tech & AI+32 pts
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
57%
MGM Resorts
40%
Viking Therapeutics
22%
14 outcomes$18.2M vol
Tech & AIflat
IPOs before 2027?
SHEIN
98%
Anthropic
86%
Discord
29%
24 outcomes$7.1M vol
Tech & AI-18 pts
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
53%
Anthropic
47%
OpenAI
0%
12 outcomes$5.5M vol
