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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Unlikely

+3 pts$304K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
26%Yes · +5 pts over period31%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 31% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +3 pts.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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