Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
5 outcomes · ranked
$1.9M tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.