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GeopoliticsSoccerSportsworld cup

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

20 outcomes · ranked

$2.7M traded
Kylian Mbappé
40%
Lionel Messi
27%
Erling Haaland
9%
Jude Bellingham
7%
Harry Kane
7%
Michael Olise
6%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lamine Yamal
1%
Rodri
1%
Pedri
1%
Declan Rice
0%
Vitinha
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
10%Kylian Mbappé · +30 pts over period40%

What this means

Across 20 outcomes, the market's favourite is Kylian Mbappé at 40%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jul 20, 2026

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