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Geopolitics2026 FIFA World CupSoccerFIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

23 outcomes · ranked

$48.9M traded
Kylian Mbappe
47%
Lionel Messi
34%
Erling Haaland
11%
Harry Kane
8%
Ousmane Dembele
0%
Mikel Oyarzabal
0%
Jude Bellingham
0%
Lamine Yamal
0%
Noah Okafor
0%
Mohamed Salah
0%
Ferran Torres
0%
Dani Olmo
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
18%Kylian Mbappe · +29 pts over period47%

What this means

Across 23 outcomes, the market's favourite is Kylian Mbappe at 47%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jul 20, 2026

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