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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Very unlikely

-1 pt$2.6M traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
14%Yes · -5 pts over period10%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 10% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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