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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Very unlikely

-2 pts$3.4M traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
8%Yes · -3 pts over period5%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 5% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -2 pts.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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