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GeopoliticsAlaska MidtermGovernor ElectionsRewards 50, 4.5, 20

Alaska Governor Election Winner

22 outcomes · ranked

$1.8M traded
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
88%
Bernadette Wilson
11%
Click Bishop
0%
David Bronson
0%
Adam Crum
0%
Nancy Dahlstrom
0%
Edna DeVries
0%
Matt Heilala
0%
Shelley Hughes
0%
James Parkin
0%
Treg Taylor
0%
Lisa Murkowski
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
76%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · +12 pts over period88%

What this means

Across 22 outcomes, the market's favourite is Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 88%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolves: Nov 4, 2026

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