Skip to content
GeopoliticsRewards 20, 4.5, 50CultureMovies

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

14 outcomes · ranked

$14.3M traded
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
74%
Avengers: Doomsday
18%
Toy Story 5
4%
The Odyssey
2%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
0%
Jumanji 3
0%
Wicked: For Good
0%
Wuthering Heights
0%
Scream 7
0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
Dune: Messiah
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
55%Spider-Man: Brand New Day · +18 pts over period74%

What this means

Across 14 outcomes, the market's favourite is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 74%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

More in Geopolitics