Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
9%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 9% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
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