Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
9%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 9% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -4 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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