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GeopoliticsMiddle EastIsraelIran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

5 outcomes · ranked

$4.5M traded
December 31
41%
September 30
25%
August 31
21%
July 31
11%
July 15
8%

Probability over time

last 30 days
41%December 31 · +0 pts over period41%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 41%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Closed Apr 30, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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