Skip to content
PoliticsAlaska MidtermSenate ElectionsUS Election

Alaska Senate Election Winner

7 outcomes · ranked

$1.1M traded
Mary Peltola
74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
28%
Ann Diener
0%
Dustin Darden
0%
Richard Grayson
0%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
0%
David Leslie
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
64%Mary Peltola · +10 pts over period74%

What this means

Across 7 outcomes, the market's favourite is Mary Peltola at 74%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolves: Nov 4, 2026

More in Politics