Alaska Senate Election Winner
7 outcomes · ranked
$1.2M tradedMary Peltola
73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
28%
Ann Diener
0%
Dustin Darden
0%
Richard Grayson
0%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
0%
David Leslie
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 7 outcomes, the market's favourite is Mary Peltola at 73%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolves: Nov 4, 2026
More in Politics
Politicsflat
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Jon Ossoff
16%
Gavin Newsom
15%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Politicsflat
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$715.5M vol
Politics-2 pts
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
48%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$711.0M vol
