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PoliticsAlaska MidtermSenate midtermsUS Election

Alaska Senate Election Winner

5 outcomes · ranked

$357K traded
Mary Peltola
61%
Dan Sullivan
41%
Ann Diener
0%
Dustin Darden
0%
Richard Grayson
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
59%Mary Peltola · +2 pts over period61%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Mary Peltola at 61%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026

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