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Argentina Presidential Election Winner

19 outcomes · ranked

$837K traded
Javier Milei
56%
Axel Kicillof
33%
Sergio Massa
8%
Dante Gebel
3%
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner
1%
Myriam Bregman
1%
Patricia Bullrich
1%
Juan Schiaretti
1%
Victoria Villarruel
1%
Juan Grabois
0%
Mauricio Macri
0%
Facundo Manes
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
52%Javier Milei · +4 pts over period56%

What this means

Across 19 outcomes, the market's favourite is Javier Milei at 56%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Resolves: Oct 25, 2027Source of truth: https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php

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