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PoliticsPoliticsElectionsArgentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

11 outcomes · ranked

$210K traded
Javier Milei
50%
Axel Kicillof
43%
Sergio Massa
3%
Mauricio Macri
2%
Myriam Bregman
1%
Dante Gebel
1%
Juan Grabois
1%
Juan Schiaretti
1%
Victoria Villarruel
0%
Esteban Bullrich
0%
Facundo Manes
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Javier Milei · +0 pts over period50%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is Javier Milei at 50%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Resolves: Oct 24, 2027

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