AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
13 outcomes · ranked
$432K tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 13 outcomes, the market's favourite is Jay Feely at 83%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.