Skip to content
PoliticsWorld ElectionsWorldGerman Elections

Berlin State Election Winner

8 outcomes · ranked

$2.9M traded
Linke
30%
CDU
25%
Grüne
24%
AfD
20%
SPD
5%
FDP
0%
FW
0%
BSW
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
21%Linke · +9 pts over period30%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is Linke at 30%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this mark…

Resolves: Sep 20, 2026

More in Politics