Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is 2-4% at 62%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the re…