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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

2 outcomes · ranked

$272K traded
Flavio Bolsonaro
75%
Lula
26%

Probability over time

last 30 days
81%Flavio Bolsonaro · -6 pts over period75%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Flavio Bolsonaro at 75%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based …

Resolves: Oct 26, 2026

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