California Governor Election Winner
23 outcomes · ranked
$40.8M tradedXavier Becerra
95%
Steve Hilton
5%
Tom Steyer
0%
Rick Caruso
0%
Alex Padilla
0%
Katie Porter
0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%
Stephen Cloobeck
0%
Butch Ware
0%
Betty Yee
0%
Toni Atkins
0%
Kyle Langford
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 23 outcomes, the market's favourite is Xavier Becerra at 95%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolves: Nov 3, 2026
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