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California Governor Primary Election: First Place

18 outcomes · ranked

$941K traded
Xavier Becerra
100%
Steve Hilton
0%
Tom Steyer
0%
Derek Grasty
0%
Carolina Buhler
0%
Thunder Parley
0%
Katie Porter
0%
Raji Rab
0%
Tony Thurmond
0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%
Betty Yee
0%
Chad Bianco
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
99%Xavier Becerra · +1 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 18 outcomes, the market's favourite is Xavier Becerra at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor…

Closed Jun 2, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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