Skip to content
PoliticsPoliticsElectionsMain Election

Ceará Governor Election Winner

6 outcomes · ranked

$202K traded
Ciro Gomes
69%
Elmano de Freitas
32%
Roberto Cláudio
0%
Eduardo Girão
0%
Capitão Wagner
0%
Camilo Santana
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
71%Ciro Gomes · -2 pts over period69%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is Ciro Gomes at 69%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Resolves: Oct 4, 2026

More in Politics