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PoliticsUKClactonPolitics

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

16 outcomes · ranked

$221K traded
Count Binface
72%
William Clouston
10%
John Stevens
10%
Laurence Fox
4%
Nigel Farage
4%
Kai Stephens
3%
Piers Corbyn
2%
Rees Cowne
2%
Matthew Bensilum
2%
Adham Alkhatip
2%
Natasha Osben
1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
45%Count Binface · +26 pts over period72%

What this means

Across 16 outcomes, the market's favourite is Count Binface at 72%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will …

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027

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