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Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

5 outcomes · ranked

$247K traded
Binface 10–20%
43%
Binface 20–30%
33%
Binface <10%
13%
Binface 30–40%
8%
Binface 40%+
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
25%Binface 10–20% · +18 pts over period43%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Binface 10–20% at 43%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Resolves: Aug 13, 2026

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