Clacton by-election Winner
8 outcomes · ranked
$1.1M tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is Nigel Farage at 90%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).