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PoliticsBrazilPoliticsElections

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

13 outcomes · ranked

$296K traded
Bia Kicis
98%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Erika Kokay
0%
Leila do Vôlei
0%
Avenir Rosa
0%
David Horn
0%
Guto Felício dos Santos
0%
Marley
0%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
0%
Ronaldo Fonseca
0%
Sebastião Coelho
0%
Tiago
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
15%Bia Kicis · +84 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 13 outcomes, the market's favourite is Bia Kicis at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the of…

Closed Oct 5, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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