FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
7 outcomes · ranked
$200K tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 7 outcomes, the market's favourite is Randy Fine at 96%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.