Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
14 outcomes · ranked
$223K tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 14 outcomes, the market's favourite is Bev Craig at 92%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).