Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
22%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 22% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -8 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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