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James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

6 outcomes · ranked

$317K traded
Fishback 10–15%
99%
Fishback 15–20%
1%
Fishback <10%
0%
Fishback 20–25%
0%
Fishback 25–30%
0%
Fishback 30%+
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
20%Fishback 10–15% · +79 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is Fishback 10–15% at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is mad…

Closed Aug 18, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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