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PoliticsTaiwanPoliticsElections

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

6 outcomes · ranked

$206K traded
Lai Jui-lung
87%
Ko Chih-en
13%
Lin Tai-hua
0%
Chiu Yi-ying
0%
Hsu Chih-chieh
0%
Chang Ching
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
77%Lai Jui-lung · +10 pts over period87%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is Lai Jui-lung at 87%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Resolves: Nov 29, 2026Source of truth: https://db.cec.gov.tw/

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