Skip to content
PoliticsPeruPoliticsElections

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

23 outcomes · ranked

$281K traded
Rafael López Aliaga
86%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
6%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
0%
Yehude Simón Munaro
0%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
0%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
0%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
0%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
64%Rafael López Aliaga · +22 pts over period86%

What this means

Across 23 outcomes, the market's favourite is Rafael López Aliaga at 86%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Resolves: Oct 5, 2026

More in Politics