Los Angeles Mayoral Election
10 outcomes · ranked
$12.8M tradedKaren Bass
59%
Nithya Raman
41%
Rick Caruso
0%
Asaad Alnajjar
0%
Gina Viola
0%
Austin Beutner
0%
Lindsey Horvath
0%
Monica Rodriguez
0%
Rae Huang
0%
Adam Miller
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Karen Bass at 59%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Closed Jun 2, 2026 · awaiting resolution
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