Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Karen Bass at 65%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
More in Politics
Politics-4 pts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Jon Ossoff
14%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Politics-3 pts
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Marco Rubio
12%
24 outcomes$690.7M vol
Politicsflat
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
47%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ron DeSantis
3%
24 outcomes$689.4M vol