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PoliticsLALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

2 outcomes · ranked

$14.9M traded
Nithya Raman
61%
Karen Bass
39%

Probability over time

last 30 days
35%Nithya Raman · +26 pts over period61%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Nithya Raman at 61%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Closed Jun 3, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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