Skip to content
PoliticsLALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

2 outcomes · ranked

$15.3M traded
Nithya Raman
52%
Karen Bass
49%

Probability over time

last 30 days
32%Nithya Raman · +20 pts over period52%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Nithya Raman at 52%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Closed Jun 3, 2026 · awaiting resolution

More in Politics