MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is Stephen Lynch at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Closed Sep 1, 2026 · awaiting resolution
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