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PoliticsMaine MidtermSenate midtermsMidterms

Maine Senate Election Winner

2 outcomes · ranked

$884K traded
Democrat
60%
Republican
41%

Probability over time

last 30 days
61%Democrat · -2 pts over period60%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Democrat at 60%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolves: Nov 3, 2026

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