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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

8 outcomes · ranked

$343K traded
AfD
83%
SPD
18%
CDU
0%
Linke
0%
Grüne
0%
FDP
0%
FW
0%
BSW
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
85%AfD · -2 pts over period83%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is AfD at 83%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market …

Resolves: Sep 20, 2026

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