Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
10 outcomes · ranked
$428K tradedLisa Demuth
38%
Kendall Qualls
30%
Mike Lindell
28%
Scott Jensen
1%
Patrick Knight
0%
Jeff Johnson
0%
Brad Kohler
0%
Phil Parrish
0%
Kristin Robbins
0%
Chris Madel
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is Lisa Demuth at 38%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolves: Aug 11, 2026
More in Politics
Politicsflat
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$1.2B vol
Politics+1 pt
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$668.8M vol
Politics+1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
12%
24 outcomes$646.6M vol
