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Politicsprimary electionsHouse PrimaryDemocratic Primary

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

2 outcomes · ranked

$236K traded
Wesley Bell
70%
Cori Bush
28%

Probability over time

last 30 days
41%Wesley Bell · +29 pts over period70%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is Wesley Bell at 70%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolves: Aug 4, 2026

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