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Nationwide ground stop lifted by...?

12 outcomes · ranked

$863K traded
November 15, 12:00 AM ET
93%
November 14, 12:00 PM ET
85%
November 14, 6:00 AM ET
70%
November 14, 2:00 AM ET
47%
November 14, 12:00 AM ET
31%
November 13, 11:00 PM ET
14%
November 13, 10:00 PM ET
10%
November 13, 9:00 PM ET
7%
November 13, 10:30 PM ET
7%
November 13, 8:00 PM ET
1%
November 13, 7:00 PM ET
0%
November 13, 6:00 PM ET
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
96%November 15, 12:00 AM ET · -2 pts over period93%

What this means

Across 12 outcomes, the market's favourite is November 15, 12:00 AM ET at 93%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

The FAA issued a nationwide ground stop for flights departing U.S. airports on November 13, 2026 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/13/us/faa-nationwide-ground-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the FAA, the U.S. Department of Transportation, or their authorized representatives officially announce that this nationwide ground stop is no longer in effect between market creation and the listed date and time (inclusive of the listed minute). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must communicate that the nationwide (all-airports) ground stop is cancelled or otherwise no longer in effect, including where it is replaced by narrower ground stops or other traffic management initiatives at individual airports or regions. Announcements that the ground stop is lifted for, or does not affect, specific airports, regions, or flights while the nationwide groun…

Resolves: Nov 15, 2026

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